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Increases 2019 Full-Year Reported Diluted EPS Forecast to at Least $4.94 (from at Least $4.87) vs. $5.08 in 2018; Reflecting Currency-Neutral Like-for-Like Adjusted Diluted EPS Growth of at Least 9%
NEW YORK–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Regulatory News:
Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE: PM) today announced its 2019 second-quarter results and increases its 2019 full-year reported diluted earnings per share forecast. Comparisons presented in this press release on a “like-for-like” basis reflect pro forma 2018 results, which have been adjusted for the deconsolidation of PMI’s Canadian subsidiary, Rothmans, Benson & Hedges, Inc. (RBH), effective March 22, 2019 (the date of deconsolidation). In addition, reflecting the deconsolidation, PMI’s total market share has been restated for previous periods.
2019 SECOND-QUARTER & YEAR-TO-DATE HIGHLIGHTS
2019 Second-Quarter
2019 Six Months Year-to-Date
“Building on our encouraging start to the year, we delivered another strong quarter that continues to demonstrate the soundness of our strategies and the quality of our execution,“ said André Calantzopoulos, Chief Executive Officer.
“Of particular note is our combined cigarette and heated tobacco unit shipment volume, which — for the first six months of the year — was up by 0.1% on a like-for-like basis. This positive performance was led by robust in-market heated tobacco unit year-to-date sales growth of 34.0%, making HEETS/HeatSticks, combined, a top-ten international tobacco brand, despite only being present in approximately one quarter of our markets. In the markets where they are sold, our heated tobacco brands held a sizable combined share of 5.0% year-to-date, driving a total international share of 2.1%, up by 0.6 points.”
“Our strong year-to-date results are the reason behind today’s announcement to increase our full-year guidance and raise our currency-neutral, like-for-like 2019 full-year adjusted diluted EPS growth rate by one percentage point to at least 9% in a further demonstration of our overall confidence in PMI’s short and long-term growth prospects. This projection includes additional investment behind our RRP portfolio to support geographic expansion and portfolio development that should help us enter 2020 in an even stronger position.”
2019 FULL-YEAR FORECAST |
|||||||
|
Full-Year |
||||||
2019 EPS Forecast |
2019 |
2018 |
Adjusted |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Reported Diluted EPS |
≥ $4.94 |
(a) |
$5.08 |
|
|
||
2018 Tax items |
— |
|
0.02 |
|
|
|
|
2019 Tax items |
(0.04 |
) |
— |
|
|
|
|
2019 Asset impairment and exit costs |
0.03 |
|
— |
|
|
|
|
2019 Canadian tobacco litigation-related expense |
0.09 |
|
— |
|
|
|
|
2019 Loss on deconsolidation of RBH |
0.12 |
|
— |
|
|
|
|
Adjusted Diluted EPS |
$5.14 |
$5.10 |
|
|
|||
Net earnings attributable to RBH |
|
(0.26 |
) |
(b) |
|
||
Adjusted Diluted EPS |
$5.14 |
$4.84 |
|
(c) |
|
||
Currency |
(0.14 |
) |
|
|
|
||
Adjusted Diluted EPS, excl. currency |
$5.28 |
$4.84 |
|
(c) |
≥ 9 % |
||
|
|
|
|
|
|||
(a) Reflects the exclusion of previously anticipated net EPS of approximately $0.28 attributable to RBH from March 22, 2019 through December 31, 2019. The impact relating to the eight-day stub period was not material. |
|||||||
(b) Net reported diluted EPS attributable to RBH from March 22, 2018 through December 31, 2018. |
|||||||
(c) Pro forma. |
PMI revises its full-year 2019 reported diluted EPS forecast to be at least $4.94 at prevailing exchange rates, compared to the previously communicated forecast of at least $4.87, versus $5.08 in 2018.
This revised full-year guidance reflects:
2019 Full-Year Forecast Overview & Assumptions
This forecast assumes:
This forecast further assumes:
This forecast excludes the impact of any future acquisitions, unanticipated asset impairment and exit cost charges, future changes in currency exchange rates, further developments related to the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, further developments pertaining to the judgment in the two Québec Class Action lawsuits and the Companies’ Creditors Arrangement Act (CCAA) protection granted to RBH and any unusual events. This forecast also excludes the contemplated proposal, previously communicated by PMI’s local affiliate, to end cigarette production in Berlin, Germany, by January 2020. Factors described in the Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements section of this release represent continuing risks to these projections.
FDA Authorization for Sale of IQOS in the United States
On April 30, 2019, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announced that the marketing of IQOS, PMI’s electrically heated tobacco system, is appropriate for the protection of public health and authorized it for sale in the United States. The FDA’s decision follows its comprehensive assessment of PMI’s premarket tobacco product applications (PMTAs) submitted to the Agency in 2017.
PMI will bring IQOS to the U.S. through an exclusive license with Altria Group, Inc., whose subsidiary, Philip Morris USA, will market the product and comply with the provisions set forth in the FDA’s marketing order, and has the expertise and infrastructure to ensure a successful launch, beginning with the initial lead market of Atlanta, Georgia.
For additional information about the FDA’s marketing order, see the FDA News Release of April 30, 2019, set out at the end of this release.
Conference Call
A conference call, hosted by Martin King, Chief Financial Officer, will be webcast at 9:00 a.m., Eastern Time, on July 18, 2019. Access is at www.pmi.com/2019Q2earnings. The audio webcast may also be accessed on iOS or Android devices by downloading PMI’s free Investor Relations Mobile Application at www.pmi.com/irapp.
CONSOLIDATED SHIPMENT VOLUME & MARKET SHARE
PMI Shipment Volume by Region |
|
Second-Quarter |
|
Six Months Year-to-Date |
||||||||||
(million units) |
|
2019 |
2018 |
Change |
|
2019 |
2018 |
Change |
||||||
Cigarettes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||
European Union |
|
46,367 |
|
47,984 |
|
(3.4 |
)% |
|
85,855 |
|
87,655 |
|
(2.1 |
)% |
Eastern Europe |
|
27,080 |
|
28,454 |
|
(4.8 |
)% |
|
47,400 |
|
50,493 |
|
(6.1 |
)% |
Middle East & Africa |
|
31,659 |
|
34,177 |
|
(7.4 |
)% |
|
64,963 |
|
63,425 |
|
2.4 |
% |
South & Southeast Asia |
|
46,376 |
|
44,788 |
|
3.5 |
% |
|
87,868 |
|
85,006 |
|
3.4 |
% |
East Asia & Australia |
|
13,845 |
|
15,114 |
|
(8.4 |
)% |
|
25,958 |
|
29,205 |
|
(11.1 |
)% |
Latin America & Canada |
|
18,472 |
|
20,204 |
|
(8.6 |
)% |
|
36,052 |
|
39,217 |
|
(8.1 |
)% |
Total PMI |
|
183,799 |
|
190,721 |
|
(3.6 |
)% |
|
348,096 |
|
355,001 |
|
(1.9 |
)% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||
Heated Tobacco Units |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||
European Union |
|
3,043 |
|
1,195 |
|
+100% |
|
5,336 |
|
2,123 |
|
+100% |
||
Eastern Europe |
|
2,807 |
|
951 |
|
+100% |
|
4,355 |
|
1,515 |
|
+100% |
||
Middle East & Africa |
|
719 |
|
971 |
|
(26.0 |
)% |
|
1,473 |
|
1,680 |
|
(12.3 |
)% |
South & Southeast Asia |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
% |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
% |
East Asia & Australia |
|
8,428 |
|
7,838 |
|
7.5 |
% |
|
15,277 |
|
15,180 |
|
0.6 |
% |
Latin America & Canada |
|
59 |
|
32 |
|
84.4 |
% |
|
113 |
|
55 |
|
+100% |
|
Total PMI |
|
15,056 |
|
10,987 |
|
37.0 |
% |
|
26,554 |
|
20,553 |
|
29.2 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||
Cigarettes and Heated Tobacco Units |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||
European Union |
|
49,410 |
|
49,179 |
|
0.5 |
% |
|
91,191 |
|
89,778 |
|
1.6 |
% |
Eastern Europe |
|
29,887 |
|
29,405 |
|
1.6 |
% |
|
51,755 |
|
52,008 |
|
(0.5 |
)% |
Middle East & Africa |
|
32,378 |
|
35,148 |
|
(7.9 |
)% |
|
66,436 |
|
65,105 |
|
2.0 |
% |
South & Southeast Asia |
|
46,376 |
|
44,788 |
|
3.5 |
% |
|
87,868 |
|
85,006 |
|
3.4 |
% |
East Asia & Australia |
|
22,273 |
|
22,952 |
|
(3.0 |
)% |
|
41,235 |
|
44,385 |
|
(7.1 |
)% |
Latin America & Canada |
|
18,531 |
|
20,236 |
|
(8.4 |
)% |
|
36,165 |
|
39,272 |
|
(7.9 |
)% |
Total PMI |
|
198,855 |
|
201,708 |
|
(1.4 |
)% |
|
374,650 |
|
375,554 |
|
(0.2 |
)% |
Second-Quarter
PMI’s total shipment volume decreased by 1.4%, or by 0.7% on a like-for-like basis, principally due to:
partly offset by
Impact of Inventory Movements
On a like-for-like basis, excluding the net unfavorable impact of estimated distributor inventory movements of approximately 0.2 billion units, PMI’s total in-market sales declined by 0.6%, due to a 2.6% decline of cigarette in-market sales, partially offset by a 33.3% increase in heated tobacco unit in-market sales.
Six Months Year-to-Date
PMI’s total shipment volume decreased by 0.2%, or increased by 0.1% on a like-for-like basis, due to:
partly offset by
Impact of Inventory Movements
On a like-for-like basis, excluding the net unfavorable impact of estimated distributor inventory movements of approximately 1.3 billion units, PMI’s total in-market sales growth was 0.5%, driven by a 34.0% increase in heated tobacco unit in-market sales, partly offset by a 1.4% decline of cigarette in-market sales.
PMI Shipment Volume by Brand
PMI Shipment Volume by Brand |
|
Second-Quarter |
|
Six Months Year-to-Date |
||||||||||
(million units) |
|
2019 |
2018 |
Change |
|
2019 |
2018 |
Change |
||||||
Cigarettes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||
Marlboro |
|
68,060 |
|
68,893 |
|
(1.2 |
)% |
|
128,024 |
|
126,866 |
|
0.9 |
% |
L&M |
|
23,522 |
|
23,196 |
|
1.4 |
% |
|
45,337 |
|
42,422 |
|
6.9 |
% |
Chesterfield |
|
14,202 |
|
14,926 |
|
(4.8 |
)% |
|
28,501 |
|
28,801 |
|
(1.0 |
)% |
Philip Morris |
|
12,950 |
|
12,523 |
|
3.4 |
% |
|
23,673 |
|
23,182 |
|
2.1 |
% |
Parliament |
|
9,847 |
|
10,993 |
|
(10.4 |
)% |
|
18,677 |
|
19,453 |
|
(4.0 |
)% |
Sampoerna A |
|
9,355 |
|
10,174 |
|
(8.0 |
)% |
|
17,256 |
|
18,798 |
|
(8.2 |
)% |
Dji Sam Soe |
|
7,839 |
|
6,877 |
|
14.0 |
% |
|
14,490 |
|
13,573 |
|
6.8 |
% |
Bond Street |
|
7,741 |
|
8,390 |
|
(7.7 |
)% |
|
13,412 |
|
15,365 |
|
(12.7 |
)% |
Lark |
|
5,349 |
|
5,969 |
|
(10.4 |
)% |
|
10,619 |
|
11,546 |
|
(8.0 |
)% |
Fortune |
|
3,441 |
|
4,155 |
|
(17.2 |
)% |
|
6,487 |
|
7,739 |
|
(16.2 |
)% |
Others |
|
21,493 |
|
24,625 |
|
(12.7 |
)% |
|
41,620 |
|
47,256 |
|
(11.9 |
)% |
Total Cigarettes |
|
183,799 |
|
190,721 |
|
(3.6 |
)% |
|
348,096 |
|
355,001 |
|
(1.9 |
)% |
Heated Tobacco Units |
|
15,056 |
|
10,987 |
|
37.0 |
% |
|
26,554 |
|
20,553 |
|
29.2 |
% |
Total PMI |
|
198,855 |
|
201,708 |
|
(1.4 |
)% |
|
374,650 |
|
375,554 |
|
(0.2 |
)% |
Note: Sampoerna A includes Sampoerna; Philip Morris includes Philip Morris/Dubliss; and Lark includes Lark Harmony. |
Second-Quarter
PMI’s cigarette shipment volume of the following brands decreased:
The increase in PMI’s heated tobacco unit shipment volume was mainly driven by the EU, notably Italy, Eastern Europe, notably Russia and Ukraine, as well as Japan, partly offset by Korea and PMI Duty Free.
PMI’s cigarette shipment volume of the following brands increased:
International Share of Market
PMI’s total international market share (excluding China and the United States), defined as PMI’s cigarette and heated tobacco unit sales volume as a percentage of total industry cigarette and heated tobacco unit sales volume, increased by 0.1 point to 28.3%, reflecting:
PMI’s total international cigarette market share, defined as PMI’s cigarette sales volume as a percentage of total industry cigarette sales volume, was 26.9%, down by 0.3 points.
Six Months Year-to-Date
PMI’s cigarette shipment volume of the following brands decreased:
The increase in PMI’s heated tobacco unit shipment volume was mainly driven by: the EU, notably Italy, Eastern Europe, notably Russia and Ukraine, and Japan; partly offset by Korea and PMI Duty Free.
PMI’s cigarette shipment volume of the following brands increased:
International Share of Market
PMI’s total international market share (excluding China and the United States), defined as PMI’s cigarette and heated tobacco unit sales volume as a percentage of total industry cigarette and heated tobacco unit sales volume, increased by 0.5 points to 28.2%, reflecting:
PMI’s total international cigarette market share, defined as PMI’s cigarette sales volume as a percentage of total industry cigarette sales volume, was 26.8%, up by 0.1 point.
CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL SUMMARY
Second-Quarter
Financial Summary – |
|
|
|
|
Change |
|
Variance |
||||||||||||||
|
2019 |
2018 |
|
Total |
Excl. |
|
Total |
Cur- |
Price |
Vol/ |
Cost/ |
||||||||||
(in millions) |
|
|
|
||||||||||||||||||
Net Revenues |
|
$ 7,699 |
$ 7,726 |
|
(0.3 |
)% |
5.4 |
% |
|
(27 |
) |
(447 |
) |
459 |
|
209 |
|
(248 |
) |
||
Cost of Sales |
|
(2,665) |
(2,744) |
|
2.9 |
% |
(2.0 |
)% |
|
79 |
|
134 |
|
— |
|
(84 |
) |
29 |
|
||
Marketing, Administration and Research Costs |
|
(1,831) |
(1,868) |
|
2.0 |
% |
(5.9 |
)% |
|
37 |
|
148 |
|
— |
|
— |
|
(111 |
) |
||
Amortization of Intangibles |
|
(16) |
(21) |
|
23.8 |
% |
23.8 |
% |
|
5 |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
5 |
|
||
Operating Income |
|
$ 3,187 |
$ 3,093 |
|
3.0 |
% |
8.4 |
% |
|
94 |
|
(165 |
) |
459 |
|
125 |
|
(325 |
) |
||
Asset Impairment & Exit Costs (2) |
|
(23 |
) |
— |
|
|
— |
% |
— |
% |
|
(23 |
) |
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
(23 |
) |
Adjusted Operating Income |
|
$ 3,210 |
$ 3,093 |
|
3.8 |
% |
9.1 |
% |
|
117 |
|
(165 |
) |
459 |
|
125 |
|
(302 |
) |
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||
Adjusted Operating Income Margin |
|
41.7 |
% |
40.0 |
% |
|
1.7pp |
1.4pp |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||
(1) Cost/Other variance includes the impact of the RBH deconsolidation. |
|||||||||||||||||||||
(2) Included in Marketing, Administration and Research Costs above. |
Net revenues, excluding unfavorable currency, increased by 5.4%, mainly reflecting: a favorable pricing variance, driven notably by Germany, Indonesia, Japan, the Philippines and Turkey, partly offset by Argentina; as well as a favorable volume/mix, mainly driven by favorable volume/mix of heated tobacco units, notably in the EU and Eastern Europe, partly offset by unfavorable volume/mix of cigarettes, mainly in the EU and East Asia & Australia. The currency-neutral growth in net revenues of 5.4% came despite the unfavorable impact of $248 million, shown in “Cost/Other,” predominantly resulting from the deconsolidation of RBH. On a like-for-like basis, net revenues, excluding unfavorable currency, increased by 9.0%, as detailed in the attached Schedule 9.
Operating income, excluding unfavorable currency, increased by 8.4%. Excluding asset impairment and exit charges related to a plant closure in Colombia as part of global manufacturing infrastructure optimization, adjusted operating income, excluding unfavorable currency, increased by 9.1%, primarily reflecting: a favorable pricing variance; favorable volume/mix, notably in the EU; partly offset by higher manufacturing costs, higher marketing, administration and research costs and the net unfavorable impact resulting from the deconsolidation of RBH shown in “Cost/Other.” On a like-for-like basis, adjusted operating income, excluding unfavorable currency, increased by 15.7%, as detailed in the attached Schedule 9.
Adjusted operating income margin, excluding currency, increased by 1.4 points to 41.4%, reflecting the factors mentioned above, as detailed in the attached Schedule 8, or by 2.4 points to 41.4% on a like-for-like basis, as detailed in the attached Schedule 9.
Contacts
Investor Relations:
New York: +1 (917) 663 2233
Lausanne: +41 (0)58 242 4666
Email: InvestorRelations@pmi.com
Media:
Lausanne: +41 (0)58 242 4500
Email: Iro.Antoniadou@pmi.com
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